
Donald Trump's official meme TRUMP is showing new momentum, and the market is eyeing a potentially very different “November”. Here are four key drivers that investors and the market are analyzing.
1. Whale Accumulation & Falling Exchange Balances Signal Confidence
On-chain data shows that large wallets (whales) are steadily accumulating TRUMP, while the number of tokens held on centralized exchanges (exchange balances) is decreasing. This suggests that the available supply on the market is shrinking, while large holders see the current phase as “hoarding and waiting”.
At the same time, new wallets are also participating in the recent TRUMP purchase, creating a “latecomer” effect.
However, note: the supply is highly concentrated, with top holders having a large amount of control. This means volatility is likely to occur when “whales” want to exit.
2. Trading activity and demand surge
Trump’s trading activity has recorded a surge: transfer volume, trading on DEX or centralized exchanges have all increased to higher levels compared to a few weeks ago.
This shows that not only “long-term holders” but also “early entrants” are participating in the market. As demand increases, the ability to create “momentum” for the price also increases.
If this state continues, meaning that it is not reversed by a massive sell-off, TRUMP will have a good psychological advantage to enter November with momentum.
3. ETF opportunities & institutional momentum
One of the strong attractions is the rumor of ETFs or institutional investment products related to TRUMP. Even without official approval, the expectation alone is enough to stimulate psychology.
When large institutions start to look at the token or at least the media talks about this scenario:
increases the confidence of individual investors
the possibility of “taking profits early” decreases, as holders wait for bigger news
and if there is indeed an institutional move, TRUMP can benefit greatly.
4. Technical signals of a bullish pattern are forming
On the technical chart: TRUMP is said to have escaped from a bearish pattern (e.g. “falling wedge”) and is moving towards a breakout, meaning the resistance level is broken, the downtrend line is crossed. At that time, the market sentiment often shifts to “catching the wave”.
If TRUMP holds the support level after the breakout, and is not turned around by strong selling pressure, the technical itself can become a more durable driving force to enter November with new momentum.
Conclusion
The convergence of strong accumulation, active trading, institutional expectations, and beautiful technical patterns has put TRUMP in a rather special position heading into November.
However, it is worth noting that the sustainability of this rally depends not only on TRUMP in particular, but also on the macroeconomic context, legal regulations, and the general sentiment of the crypto market. If any of these factors weaken, for example: bad news from regulations, adverse macro fluctuations, the rally may stall or reverse.